Applications of segmented regression models for biomedical studies. Berman, Nancy G., Weng Kee Wong, Shalandar Bhasin, Eli Ipp. Department of Pediatrics, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA 90502, Department of Biostatistics, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90024-1772, Department of Medicine, King-Drew Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90059, Department of Medicine, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA 90502
APStracts 2:0258E, 1995.
In many biological models a relationship between variables may be modelled as a linear or polynomial function which changes abruptly when an independent variable obtains a threshold level. Usually the transition point is unknown and a major objective of the analysis is its estimation. This type of model is known as a segmented regression model. We present two methods, Gallant and Fuller's method and Tishler and Zang's method, using nonlinear least-squares techniques for estimating the transition point. We give three examples: a hypoglycemia study, a testosterone study and an estimate of age -cortisol relationship. Simulation techniques are used to compare the two methods. We conclude that these models provide useful information and that the two methods studied produce essentially equivalent results. We recommend that both methods be used to analyze a data set if possible to avoid problems due to local minima, and that if the results do not agree, then evaluation of the likelihood function in the range of the estimates be used to determine the best estimate.

Received 10 January 1995; accepted in final form 20 November
1995.
APS Manuscript Number E6-5.
Article publication pending Am. J. Physiol. (Endocrinol. Metab.).
ISSN 1080-4757 Copyright 1995 The American Physiological Society.
Published in APStracts on 23 December 95